"I'm what the world considers to be a phenomenally successful man. And I've failed much more than I've succeeded. And each time I fail, I get my people together, and I say, "Where are we going?" And it starts to get better." - Calvin Trager
Tuesday, January 23, 2007 Hillary? Obama? Wanna bet?
If you do, you'll get a better return on Barack (6-1) than Hillary (even money)according to a live betting line posted on sportsbook.com. John McCain, the ultra-conservative in moderate maverick's clothing the top GOP candidate at 3-1 (same as surprise ... at least to me ... Dem runner up Al Gore).
Here are how's everyone posting at 50-1 or greater odds stack up (includes some who have not - and may never -- declare)
Hillary Clinton 1-1 Al Gore 3-1 John McCain 3-1 Barack Obama 6-1 John Edwards 8-1 George Allen Jr 10-1 Rudy Giuliani 10-1 Sam Brownback 10-1 Bill Richardson 12-1 Mark Warner 15-1 Mitt Romney 10-1 Wesley Clark 20-1 Mike Huckabee 20-1 Evan Bayh 20-1 Chuck Hagel 22-1 Colin Powell 25-1 Joe Biden 30-1 Condoleezza Rice 30-1 Newt Gingrich 40-1 Tom Vilsack 40-1 Russ Feingold 40-1 Rick Santorum 50-1 Tom Tancredo 50-1 Mike Gravel 50-1 Tom Ridge 50-1 Tom Daschle 50-1 Bill Owens 50-1 Bob Kerrey 50-1 John Kerry 50-1 George Pataki 50-1 Chris Dodd 50-1
Then it really gets fun. Check out some of these others:
Dick Gephardt 75-1 (what would a Democratic primary be without Dick Gephardt?)
Dick Cheney 75-1 (I would say good for entertainment value, except I've already been proven that "he can't possibly win" are words you sometimes have to eat)
Howard Dean 75-1 (Funny thing is, if you tune out "the scream" and just read the stuff he wrote and said -- particularly about Iraq and the ill-named "war on terror" -- he was, well, how do you say it ... right!)
Alberto Gonzales 75-1 (Preserve and defend what? I don't think I'm familiar with that document.)
Charles Schumer 75-1 (Shocked he hasn't declared already. If America was 25% as fond of him as he is of himself, he'd win in a landslide!)
Harold Ford Jr 75-1 (an interesting choice. Couldn't win a seat in Tennessee, but got vaguely Obamaesque buzz nationally)
Jack Kemp 75-1 (Is he still alive? Never thought he'd be a good president, but he always looked like the guy who plays the president in movies)
Jeb Bush 100-1 ("You were supposed to be the chosen one!!!" If W. hadn't screwed things up to the point that "Bush fatigue" is making "Clinton fatigue" look like a post-buffet burp, he might be a serious candidate)
Ralph Nader 100-1 (Please, God, no.)
Paul Bremmer 150-1 (Campaign slogan: "Rebuilding America the way I rebuilt Iraq ... no, wait a minute")
Joe Lieberman 150-1 (but on which ticket?)
Michael Bloomberg 150-1 (a moderate Republican who would be an intruiging darkhorse)
Tommy Franks 200-1 (pretty much think anyone with a significant role in Iraq has about as much chance as General Westmoreland running in 1976)
Jesse Jackson 200-1 (see Dick Gephardt)
George W Bush 200-1 (I'm convinced this line is in here to catch all the suckers who never heard of the 22nd ammendment. I hope it's that ... something more nefarious could be afoot.)
Dennis Kucinich 200-1 (the lowest-rated declared candidate. Sad when your chances are winning are the same as a guy who is constitutionally prohibited from winning. Then again, with W.'s pliable relationship with the Constitution...)
Arnold Schwarzenegger - 250-1; Bill Clinton - 300-1 -- Bill Maher's dream matchup. Get rid of Clause 5 of Article 2 and the 22nd amendment and give each side the candidate they really want.
Alan Keyes 750-1 -- (Obama rematch ... 'cause it went so well the first time?)
Clint Eastwood 750-1 (hey, you laughed at the Governator.)
Ted Kennedy 750-1 (It's a sad commentary on the Democratic field that I actually think I would like Teddy better than a bunch of the people out there. I think he's gained some wisdom over the years. According to Wikipedia, he was pulled from a plane wreckage in 1964 by ... Evan Bayh's dad!)
Bill O'Reilly 750-1 - (... starting to price houses in Montreal while pondering this one)
John Ashcroft 1500-1 (more likely the bottom half of the Alberto Gonzalez ticket)
Donald Rumsfeld 2000-1 (anyone who can say "I believe what I said yesterday. I don't know what I said, but I know what I think, and, well, I assume it's what I said." can't be discounted in politics)
Pat Robertson 2000-1 (that's if we survive the "mass killing" God told him we would suffer this year. The "I told you so" factor could weigh in his favor).
Bill Maher 2500-1 (New Rule: Potato Bongs at all State Dinners)
Donald Trump 2500-1 (Seriously, if Bill Maher, who would have no chance of winning, is at 2,500 to 1, then Trump's odds should be a lot better. This is just the kind of scary bastard who could make a run.)
Michael Moore 7500-1 (But he would make Kucinich look centrist if he got in the race).
| Mike at 1/23/2007 09:15:00 AM
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